In this third and final property update of 2024, Louis Montegriffo, Co-Founder of BMI Group Estate Agents, offers an in-depth analysis of Gibraltar’s property market's performance over the last two quarters. 

The property market in Gibraltar has experienced significant changes in recent months, reflecting a period of economic realignment influenced by external factors. This quarterly update explores these developments, offering valuable insights for investors, clients, and stakeholders.

The past year has seen the market undergo a noticeable downturn, beginning around mid-2022. However, this downturn is better described as a "realignment" rather than a recession. The adjustment reflects a recalibration of property values to meet realistic demand. As stated in the discussion, "a lot of that also driven by an oversupply of properties coming on, people wanting to extract value on sales, which are no longer relevant."

Despite this realignment, no dramatic changes are expected in the immediate future. The process continues steadily, and while fluidity in property sales has slowed over the past 18 months, the long-term outlook remains optimistic.

Central to this optimism is the much-anticipated agreement. Although progress has been delayed, particularly due to the announcement of UK elections by Rishi Sunak, confidence remains high that a resolution will be achieved. As noted, "we still take the view now, months later, that that is still going to happen." The agreement is expected to stabilise the market and provide renewed confidence in Gibraltar’s long-term prospects.

Gibraltar’s resilience in the face of challenges has been a recurring theme. Its ability to overcome political and economic hurdles over centuries demonstrates its strength and adaptability. Even amidst Brexit-related uncertainties, Gibraltar continues to offer stability and security to newcomers.

The economy remains driven by key sectors such as e-gaming, online gaming, and financial services, which are vital to its continued success. Protecting and adapting these industries will be essential as any agreement may require adjustments in business models. From a property perspective, the agreement is likely to bring renewed energy to the market. However, as cautioned, "we don’t necessarily feel that we’re going to see a huge growth in property prices happen overnight."

Expectations should remain measured. While the market is not anticipated to experience dramatic changes, the gradual return of fluidity in sales will signify progress. The current realignment, involving a 10%-20% downturn in values, is a necessary adjustment, positioning the market for sustainable growth.

Gibraltar continues to demonstrate its capacity for reinvention, emerging stronger with every challenge. The property market’s evolution reflects this resilience, offering long-term promise for those invested in its future.

The Gibraltar Property Update is a quarterly summary of Gibraltar's property update. Brought to you by BMI Group Estate Agents and delivered by Louis Montegriffo, it provides a market-wide snapshot for those looking to buy, sell and invest in real estate in Gibraltar. This update is produced by Motion Gibraltar.